Home economics 2:00PM Water Cooler 8/22/2023 | bare capitalism

2:00PM Water Cooler 8/22/2023 | bare capitalism

2:00PM Water Cooler 8/22/2023 | bare capitalism


By Lambert Strether of Corrente.

Chook Music of the Day

Massive Wren-Babbler, Kuala Lompat; Krau Reserve, Pahang, Malaysia. “Breeding Standing: territorial; Normal Local weather: moist; Cowl Density: thick). Different Behaviors: Promote. Habitat: Rainforest, Evergreen Forest, River.” I just like the identify “Wren-Babbler.” It jogs my memory of a personality in a P.G. Wodehouse novel; “Bertie Wren-Babbler”; “Madeleine Wren-Babbler”; and so forth.

* * *

Search for the Helpers

“Obituary for a Quiet Life” [The Bitter Southerner (LL)]. “‘Would you write your papaw’s obituary?’ she requested, ever sensible even amid the lack of the love of her life. … After I sat down to jot down, I discovered myself dropping particulars right into a template — son of, survived by. The obituary type places a specific strain on what issues, on what needs to be remembered and praised, however what does one say a few life that aimed to hold on within the background, that had little interest in a reputation in newsprint or an award on the mantel? Ray Harrell, son of Jim and Cora, was content material to sit down nonetheless and watch the breeze scatter the leaves? Ray Harrell, sergeant first-class, organized the payments in his pockets in descending order? Ray Harrell, survived by Grace, whistled the identical invented tune yr after yr whereas looking for the fitting nail within the shed? I stuffed within the anticipated particulars and despatched the obituary to the newspaper, however I knew it wasn’t proper. It captured nothing of the life he lived. What I returned to within the days after he handed, as the women from church coated the desk in casseroles and Grandma slept in a mattress alone for the primary time since she was 19, was the sheer audacity of a quiet life.” • LL writes: “This will likely a little bit of a stretch nevertheless it’s a beautiful piece of writing and a celebration of a non-greedy lifestyle.” I agree (and I like The Bitter Southerner, not least due to its title; I assumed I had subscribed,  however apparently not.) I’ve written the obituaries for each my mother and father; it’s certainly useful, each to at least one’s self, the familu, and the group, so -called. The writing doesn’t resolve something, however the small phrase depend brings its personal type of readability, and the submission to the native paper is a well-defined step ahead within the ritual-based switch of property that’s, in America, the consequence of demise, in a course of the place just about nothing else (emotions, say) is well-defined in any respect, or certainly assisted. “It’s altogether becoming and correct that we must always do that,” as Lincoln put it. It will be attention-grabbing to seek out out of the obituaries for the million souls misplaced to Covid differed from previous obituaries in any approach; a great challenge for a wet day, or a reporter, if funded. And so it would by no means occur.


“So lots of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are in reality a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles

The Constitutional Order

Two households, each alike in dignity,
In honest Verona, the place we lay our scene,
From historical grudge break to new mutiny,
The place civil blood makes civil palms unclean.
–William Shakespeare, Romeo and Juliet

Shakespeare says the 2 households are “alike” in dignity, however he doesn’t say how a lot dignity they really have. If Verona’s households are like our events, the reply is “not a lot.”

* * *

“The Sweep and Pressure of Part Three” [William Baude and Michael Stokes Paulsen, University of Pennsylvania Law Review]. I extremely advocate this piece (and the following dialogue at NC, beginning right here). As a former English main and a fan of shut studying, I’m not averse to “originalism,” of which Baude and Paulsen present a magisterial instance, within the sense that understanding the regulation as a textual content should start with understanding the plain, public which means of the phrases used when the textual content was written. That’s how I learn Shakespeare, or Joyce, so why not the Structure? Simply so long as understanding doesn’t finish there! In any case, I’m working by it. One factor I discover is that there do appear to have been moderately numerous rebellions and insurrections, not simply the Civil Battle. To me, that is parallel to at least one lesson I drew from Mike Duncan’s Revolutions podcast (episode 1): There are moderately numerous revolutions, too. Alert reader Pensions Man summarizes Baude and Paulsen as follows:]

The authors undergo an exhaustive textual and originalism evaluation of Part Three, and their Federalist Society leanings don’t deter them from reaching their conclusion that officers in each State who’re charged with figuring out candidate {qualifications} ought to conclude that Donald Trump is disqualified from being on ballots due to the oath he took on Inauguration Day 2017 and subsequently violated by his position within the rebellion that befell on January 6, 2021.

Taking “rebellion” as learn (I must do extra studying), extra on my persevering with protection of Part Three.

* * *

“This subject might knock Trump off ballots nationwide. Prepare for it to dominate main season” [Los Angeles Times]. “Even because the legal circumstances in opposition to Donald Trump dominate headlines, a special, much less publicized wave of litigation is constructing that would endanger his presidential ambitions: efforts to exclude him from the poll beneath a constitutional provision adopted after the Civil Battle…. Even earlier than that, nonetheless, liberal authorized teams had begun researching state legal guidelines and dealing with voters who might problem Trump’s entry to the poll…. ‘The American public ought to anticipate to see a collection of challenges filed in state after state,’ says Ron Fein, authorized director of 1 such group, Free Speech for Folks.” From the About Web page, Director Ben Binswanger: “Mr. Binswanger started his profession as a political guide for quite a few Democratic candidates, and labored for greater than 5 years as Senator Edward Kennedy’s senior political advisor in Washington… Mr. Binswanger has additionally served on the boards of Demos.” Extra: “Whether or not the efforts succeed is anybody’s guess; the authorized points are complicated and with out clear precedents and will result in a Supreme Court docket showdown early within the new yr. Win or lose, nonetheless, the difficulty might severely disrupt a main season that’s already fraught with potential for strife and violence — one other instance of how Trump’s is stressing the nation’s authorized and political programs.” • Totes, just one social gathering does that. The social gathering of The Others.

“Georgia indictment and post-Civil Battle historical past make it clear: Trump’s actions have already disqualified him from the presidency” [The Conversation]. “We imagine the Georgia indictment supplies much more element than the sooner federal one about how Trump’s actions have already disqualified him from workplace, and exhibits a approach to maintain him off the poll in 2024.” • An indictment? Actually? Ask any ham sandwich about that! (Clearly, election officers want cowl for these judgments on disqualification. They want a non-partisan, branded MR SUBLIMINAL And completely not spook-infested! NGO. How in regards to the Atlantic Council?

“Will Donald Trump Be Disqualified from Working Underneath the 14th Modification?” [Newsweek]. “The case that Donald Trump is ineligible to run for president in 2024 because of the 14th Modification is ‘compelling,’ however ‘unlikely to achieve broad acceptance,’ based on [former federal prosecutor Adam Kamenstein, a partner with the Los Angeles-based law firm Adams, Duerk & Kamenstein]: ‘[L]ike all authorized arguments, its sensible software rests on the frequent acceptance of sure details. We don’t have that right here, at present, the place details and fact fluctuate relying on one’s political standpoint. Even when everybody agreed on the underlying Constitutional scholarship, we’d by no means see settlement on the details to which it have to be utilized. So, regardless of how compelling the authorized scholarship, it’s unlikely to achieve broad acceptance.’” • 

Lambert right here: Hat tip to reader yesterday who dug into Baude and Paulsen. Main sources rule! 

Biden Administration


Time for the Countdown Clock!

* * *

“5 Key Issues to Look ahead to in Republican Main Debate” [Newsweek]. “[I]n a race for second place, there’s a lot for the possible candidates to achieve, significantly given a front-runner whose marketing campaign struggle chest is dedicated to combating off 91 legal prices in 4 totally different jurisdictions.” • “DeSantis vs. Ramaswamy,” ‘Pile on Ron’, “Splintering on Ukraine,” “Nuance on Abortion,” “Who takes on Trump?” • That’s odd. Nothing a few Republican flip to the working class (regardless of how cynical and fumbling).

* * *

“New Trump ballot proves Obama and Clinton had been proper: The GOP base are deplorable, bitter clingers” [Amanda Marcotte, Salon]. Amanda Marcotte and Henry Kissinger: Each nonetheless in there punching! “New polling out this week from CBS Information proves, as many feared, Trump’s fourth set of indictments — he now faces 91 [fancy!] felony prices throughout 4 jurisdictions — has solely prompted the GOP to rally round their seething orange chief…. And, in a ballot discovering that actually is astonishing, Trump voters claimed they belief the infamous fraudster greater than anybody. A whopping 71% of Trump voters declare “what he says is true.” Solely 63% of them say that about household and buddies, 56% about conservative media figures and 42% about non secular leaders. The phrase that involves thoughts is ‘cult.’ ‘Cult leaders have to be dynamic, charismatic, and convincing as a result of their purpose is to regulate their members to accumulate cash or power-related benefits,’ mentioned Joe Scarborough on MSNBC in response to the ballot Monday. Political scientist Brian Klaas tweeted, ‘you should perceive what an authoritarian cult of character is, as a result of that’s what it has change into.’” • Speakling of “cults,” however to beMR SUBLIMINAL As all the time! honest, I can’t discover a story the place anyone named their pet after Jack Smith. Or, for that matter, Fani Willis. So maybe — as [genuflects] Obama as soon as put it — the fever is breaking. We are able to however hope.

* * *

“Mass shootings spur divergent legal guidelines as states cut up between gun rights and management” [Associated Press]. “[F]ellow Democratic Gov. J.B. Pritzker signed a regulation making Illinois the eighth state to roll again authorized protections for firearms producers and distributors. The brand new regulation bans firearms promoting that officers decide produces a public security menace or appeals to kids, militants or others who may later use the weapons illegally. Pritzker signed the invoice alongside attendees of an annual convention hosted by the gun-control group Everytown for Gun Security. The group mentioned 2023 has been ‘a historic yr for gun security within the states.’ Along with Illinois, Democratic-led legislatures in Colorado, Connecticut, Hawaii, Michigan, Maryland, Minnesota, Vermont and Washington all handed a number of gun management provisions this yr.” • Pritzker checking these packing containers in very disciplined vogue.

* * *

“Virginia Democrats increase alarms that Gov. Glenn Youngkin may very well be constructing towards a nationwide bid” [EMEA Tribune]. Pakistani, fascinatingly, although initially revealed at NBC. “Virginia Democrats are frightened the nationwide social gathering isn’t doing sufficient to cease Republican Gov. Glenn Youngkin, elevating alarm bells that he might attempt to use wins on the state stage to tug Virginia to the fitting and, doubtlessly, mount a presidential bid. Chief amongst their worries is that this fall’s legislative elections. Each single seat within the commonwealth’s Normal Meeting, which is at present cut up between the 2 events, is up for re-election in November. Republicans now maintain a five-seat edge within the Home of Delegates with three vacancies, whereas Democrats management the Senate by the identical margin. Youngkin’s statewide operation is aiming at a GOP sweep, which might open the door to a conservative governing bundle Democrats have largely been in a position to stymie throughout his first two years in workplace. GOP strategist Karl Rove, who beforehand labored for the Virginia GOP, agrees. Rove believes Youngkin and his political crew have made all the fitting strikes to take full benefit of his recognition and channel it correctly. ‘Cash isn’t every thing in politics, nevertheless it’s necessary and he started elevating it early and spending it properly, which occurs far much less usually than you may assume in politics,’ Rove mentioned… Rove believes that whereas Youngkin’s nationwide profile is on the rise, a race for president may nonetheless be a troublesome proposition this late within the calendar. ‘It’s an extended shot if he decides to pursue it,’ Rove mentioned. ‘The irony is it’s a greater shot if he stays targeted on November and comes to a decision afterwards than if he decides at present.’”

“Gov. Youngkin fires again in school district defying coverage on gender id: ‘Mother and father are in cost’” [NBC News]. “Gov. Glenn Youngkin, R-Va., responded to a college district saying it wouldn’t use the new mannequin insurance policies set by Virginia’s Training Division (VDOE), saying it’s the regulation and the district ‘doesn’t have a alternative’ within the matter.  Prince William County Public Faculties (PWCS) launched an announcement final week stating that it will keep on with an older coverage that addresses the ‘rights of transgender and gender-nonconforming college students’ as a result of it’s ‘according to each federal and state anti-discrimination legal guidelines.’ The VDOE’s 2021 mannequin insurance policies for college districts allowed transgender college students to make use of loos and faculty services that matched their gender id in addition to required lecturers to make use of college students’ most popular gender pronouns, based on the Washington Submit.” • Not talked about within the article above, oddly. Discover that if darkish horse Pritzker runs, gender id will transfer entrance and middle as an election “subject.” At all times one thing to look ahead to in 2024.

“Virginia college district not shocked by ‘controversy’ over accepting anti-‘woke’ books at school libraries” [Washington Examiner]. “Taylor added that the query of ‘the place are the optimistic books?’ impressed a better push to encourage the acceptance of Courageous Books of their college libraries. The Courageous Books CEO mentioned Monday that he doesn’t perceive why some adults are advocating pornographic and inappropriate supplies at school libraries and is thrilled Spotsylvania is including his values-based books of their libraries. ‘All people will get grossed out by it, and youngsters get grossed out by it by nature,’ Talbott mentioned of graphic books in faculties. Taylor hopes different college districts observe their lead in an emphasis on offering college students a ‘ethical training’ and ‘applicable studying picks.’” • Can’t we simply depart what’s within the library to librarians? Or, heaven forfend, has the successor ideology corrupted them too?

Democrats en Déshabillé

Affected person readers, plainly persons are really studying the back-dated submit! However I’ve not up to date it, and there are numerous updates. So I should try this. –lambert

I’ve moved my standing remarks on the Democrat Get together (“the Democrat Get together is a rotting corpse that may’t bury itself”) to a separate, back-dated submit, to which I’ll periodically add materials, summarizing the addition right here in a “reside” Water Cooler. (Hopefully, some Bourdieu.) It seems that defining the Democrat Get together is, in reality, a tough drawback. I do assume the paragraph that follows is on level all the best way again to 2016, if not earlier than:

The Democrat Get together is the political expression of the category energy of PMC, their base (lucidly defined by Thomas Frank in Hear, Liberal!). ; if the Democrat Get together didn’t exist, the PMC must invent it. . (“PMC” modulo “class expatriates,” after all.) Second, all of the working components of the Get together reinforce one another. Go away apart characterizing the relationships between parts of the Get together (ka-ching, however not solely) these parts comprise a community — a Flex Internet? An iron octagon? — of funders, distributors, apparatchiks, electeds, NGOs, and miscellaneous mercenaries, with property within the press and the intelligence group.

Word, after all, that the category energy of the PMC each expresses and is proscribed by different lessons; oligarchs and American gentry (see ‘industrial mannequin’ of Ferguson, Jorgensen, and Jie) and the working class spring to thoughts. Suck up, kick down.

* * *

Realignment and Legitimacy

“Does Voting By Mail Actually Assist Candidates Win?” [Washington Monthly]. “Teachers and political professionals have lengthy debated the consequences of mail-in voting, and up to date research have come to 2 conclusions. First, sending voters a poll by mail—which they will fill out at residence and mail again or ship in individual to a drop field or polling location—boosts total turnout. Second, on stability, mail-in voting—generally referred to as voting at residence—doesn’t benefit one social gathering over one other. The latter conclusion appeared true even in 2020, when Donald Trump particularly dissuaded his base from voting by mail, spreading false conspiracy theories that absentee voting causes fraud and unfairly advantages Democrats. Regardless that Trump misplaced and a far increased portion of Democrats than Republicans voted by mail that yr (58 % versus 32 % based on a Pew survey), a complete research failed to indicate a partisan benefit for Democrats within the nation as a complete. The research additionally discovered, nonetheless, a small benefit for Democrats in states that allowed voters to acquire mail ballots with out an excuse (like, say, a be aware from a physician). Because it occurs, practically the entire battleground states in 2020, the place the presidential campaigns targeted their vitality and sources, had been additionally “”no excuse”” states. In consequence, the discovering suggests—though it doesn’t positively show—that the Democrats’ better deal with vote by mail in these states might have made a distinction.   The outcomes from the 2022 midterms level in the identical path. Democratic candidates in all places endorsed mail-in voting and carried out higher than anticipated, whereas Republicans shied away—largely for concern of antagonizing Trump and his hardcore supporters—and did worse.” • I don’t care, I hate all of it, and I don’t care what goo-goos from Oregon say. Any system aside from your complete nation voting on the identical time rewards partisan affiliation, which is the very very last thing we wish to do (and why Democrats prefer it a lot.


“I’m in earnest — I can’t equivocate — I can’t excuse — I can’t retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison

Assets, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; consists of many counties; Wastewater Scan, consists of drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide information). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Normal Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).

Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be happy to contact me on the deal with given with the vegetation. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!

Assets, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater studies); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).

Assets, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).

Assets, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).

Hat tricks to useful readers: anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Utah, Bob White (3). 

Keep protected on the market!

* * *


An intelligence take a look at! Which Mandy fails, dramatically:

I’m impressed by CDC staffers’ collective (and distinctive) silent rebuke to “Maskless Mandy”‘s recklessness (and I hope the auditorium was well-ventilated). These staffers give me hope. The parallel between Mandy’s modeling of masking apply throughout a pandemic pushed by an airborne Stage 3 biohazard and the administration pablum on Mandy’s PowerPoint is fairly stark. You need “belief”? Then act in a reliable vogue!

Elite Maleficence

“CDC Weighs Decrease An infection Security Precautions For Healthcare Staff” [Judy Stone, Forbes]. “The Healthcare An infection Management Advisory Committee advises the CDC on tips for an infection management in healthcare settings. HICPAC met in June and revealed slides summarizing its draft tips [finally]. That is the place the controversy started. It’s scheduled to satisfy once more on Tuesday, Aug 22, and, per its revealed draft agenda [finally], to vote on finalizing its plan for the CDC. Nonetheless, I used to be informed by a CDC consultant that there is not going to be a vote till no less than November. The deliberate HICPAC revisions would water down an infection management protections, significantly for aerosol transmission and multidrug-resistant organisms.” Importantly:

Greater than 900 specialists in infectious illness, public well being, industrial hygiene, aerosol science and air flow engineering signed a letter to Mandy Cohen, M.D., the brand new CDC director, explaining how the brand new draft tips weaken protections for healthcare staff. They state, ‘Surgical masks can’t be really useful to guard well being care personnel in opposition to inhalation of infectious aerosols.’ The specialists’ letter was coauthored by Lisa Brosseau, Jane Thomason and Peg Seminario, amongst others. Seminario was the director of occupational security and well being for the AFL-CIO from 1990 to 2019.

The CDC responded to Seminario and the specialists’ letter solely now, a month later, and simply earlier than the scheduled Aug 22 assembly. The company supplied no substantive or particular rebuttal, however spoke of its dedication to ‘enhancing healthcare high quality’ and dedication to ‘to transparency, communication, and stakeholder engagement.’ . The letter will not be but publicly accessible [dry, very very].

I hardly dare hope that my yammering about FACA (right here; right here) had some impact. However a person can dream! In the present day is August 22; HICPAC will end assembly one half hour after Water Cooler posts in a perfect world; and we’ll see what the outcomes are.

* * *

Case Information

From BioBot wastewater information, August 22:

Lambert right here: Completely satisfied recollections of tape-watching days! Closing in on a Trump-era surge stage; Biden’s, after all, are increased. It will likely be attention-grabbing to see what occurs when faculties open up. I want to congratulate the Biden administration and the general public well being institution, the CDC particularly, for this huge and unprecedented achievement. And a tip of the ol’ Water Cooler hat to the Nice Barrington goons, whose insurance policies have been adopted so assiduously! A curious truth: All of Biden’s peaks are increased than Trump’s peaks. Exhibits you what public well being can do when it’s firing on all eight cylinders! Musical interlude. NOTE I’m not completely happy that Biobot can’t replace this information extra regularly. 

Regional information:

Backward revisions. The nationwide flattening is because of the Midwest downward swoop. I’d look forward to the backward revisions on that. Apparently, the upswing begins earlier than July 4, which neither accelerates nor retards it.

Regional variant information, August 19:

EG.5 (the orange pie slice) nonetheless appears evenly distributed. Sadly, the Midwest information will not be accessible, so we are able to’t infer something in regards to the Midwest surge and any variant(s), in some way. 


NOT UPDATED From CDC, August 19:

Lambert right here: High of the leaderboard: EG.5 (“Eris“). I’m not highlighting the BA.2’s as a result of the interactive model exhibits that these BA.2’s been hanging round at a low stage for months.

From CDC, August 5:

Lambert right here: Undecided what to make of this. I’m used to seeing a brand new variant take down the beforehand dominant variant. Right here it appears like we now have a “tag crew,” all working collectively to chop XBB.1.5 right down to measurement. I positive hope the volunteers doing Pangolin, on which this chart relies upon, don’t all transfer on the inexperienced fields and pastures new (or have their entry to services lower by directors of in poor health intent).

CDC: “As of Might 11, genomic surveillance information will likely be reported biweekly, primarily based on the supply of optimistic take a look at specimens.” “Biweeekly: 1. occurring each two weeks. 2. occurring twice per week; semiweekly.” Appears like CDC has chosen sense #1. In essence, they’re telling us variants are nothing to fret about. Time will inform.

Covid Emergency Room Visits

NOT UPDATED From CDC NCIRD Surveillance, August 12:

Lambert right here: Improve is much more distinct. (The black line is “mixed”, however it’s simple to see that Covid, the crimson line, is driving every thing.)

NOTE “Charts and information offered by CDC, updates Wednesday by 8am. For the previous yr, utilizing a rolling 52-week interval.” So not your complete pandemic, FFS (the implicit message right here being that Covid is “identical to the flu,” which is why the seasonal “rolling 52-week interval” is suitable for eachMR SUBLIMINAL I hate these folks a lot. Discover additionally that this chart exhibits, no less than for its time interval, that Covid is not seasonal, despite the fact that CDC is attempting to get us to imagine that it’s, presumably to allow them to piggyback on the prevailing institutional equipment for injections.


I hate this metric as a result of the lag makes it misleading. However, right here’s bellwether New York Metropolis, information as of August 21:

Might be worse, and likely will likely be. However how a lot worse?


Walgreens, August 21:

So, Walgreens is again within the sport (and how on earth did that debacle occur? We breathlessly await the information protection). The share of positives is the best ever, although absolute numbers are nonetheless small relative to previous surges.

NOT UPDATED From CDC, July 31:

Lambert right here: That is the CDC’s “Traveler-Based mostly Genomic Surveillance” information.


NOT UPDATED Iowa COVID-19 Tracker, August 9:

Lambert right here: The WHO information is nugatory, so I changed it with the Iowa Covid Information Tracker. Their technique: “These information have been sourced, through the API from the CDC: https://information.cdc.gov/NCHS/Situations-Contributing-to-COVID-19-Deaths-by-Stat/hk9y-quqm. This visualization updates on Wednesday evenings. Information are provisional and are adjusted weekly by the CDC.” I can’t appear to get a pop-up that exhibits a complete of the three causes (high proper). Readers?

Whole: 1,172,801 – 1,172,458 = 343 (343 * 365 = 125,195 deaths per yr, at present’s YouGenicist™ quantity for “dwelling with” Covid (fairly a bit increased than the minimizers would really like, although they will speak themselves into something. If the YouGenicist™ metric retains chugging alongside like this, I may must resolve that is what the powers-that-be think about “mission completed” for this specific tranche of demise and illness). 

Extra Deaths

The Economist, August 21:

Lambert right here:  Again to virtually dailiy. Odd when it’s, odd when it stops. Based mostly on a machine-learning mannequin. (The CDC has an extra estimate too, however because it ran eternally with a large typo within the Legend, I figured no person was actually it, so I received rid it. )

Stats Watch

Manufacturing: “United States Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index” [Trading Economics]. “The Manufacturing Exercise Index within the Richmond space edged as much as -7 in August 2023 from -9 in July, as anticipated.”

* * *

* * *

In the present day’s Concern & Greed Index: 50 Concern (earlier shut: 46 Impartial) [CNN]. One week in the past: 54 (Impartial). (0 is Excessive Concern; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Aug 21 at 12:31 PM ET. Mr. Market continues to be chewing his palms.

Class Warfare

From the mouths of menswear experts:

So it’s not attainable to be a capitalist and a gentleman?

Information of the Wired

I’m not but wired at present.

* * *

Contact info for vegetation: Readers, be happy to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn how to ship me a examine if you’re allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn how to ship me pictures of vegetation. Greens are effective! Fungi and coral are deemed to be honorary vegetation! If you would like your deal with to seem as a credit score, please place it firstly of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize through the use of your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From SR:

SR writes: “Balcony, northern Virginia: The thriller of balloon flowers.”

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